Sports betting analytics
Line moves, splits and model picks. Every game, one page.
Each game page shows the current line and how it moved, public betting splits, injuries, and weather and pitching where they apply, with Ask MVP AI on hand. Our models’ picks sit alongside: posted before the game, graded when it ends, win or lose.
Not for casual fans or recreational bettors. Built for sharps, quants, and serious bettors who want model-driven picks they can audit.
Open to everyone — no waitlist. Free accounts see a graded pick a day, no credit card required.
We publish CLV on every public pick — win or lose.
- Timestamped before tip-off
- Auto-graded vs. the closing line
- CLV tracked on every pick
18+ · Play responsibly
Autotrader · live
We trade our own picks with real money
The MVP Capping Autotrader buys our picks on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, with real money. Here is its record, the positions in games under way right now and the last ones to settle: wins and losses alike.
- Net P&L
- +$14.80
- ROI
- +5.0%
- W–L
- 61–69
- Settled trades
- 130
Live now
Open positions are unavailable right now. Try again in a few minutes.
Just settled
NFL
NBA
Live from the lab
What the models are calling right now
Every prediction is timestamped before the game starts and graded when it ends. Locked ones unlock with Pro.
NBA
TENNIS
Best strategies
What is working lately
A strategy is one model in one league and one market, ranked on its own graded record.
Last 30 days
Last 7 days
- Sharp Money FlowNFL · MLMoneylineLast graded Nov 13+4.47u
- H2H Duel ModelF1 · H2hLast graded Nov 8+4.18u
- Process DisciplineNBA · SpreadLast graded Nov 13+3.98u
- Process DisciplineNHL · SpreadLast graded Nov 13+3.11u
- ML Logistic RegressionNHL · MLMoneylineLast graded Nov 9+2.78u
- Raj "The Intern" PatelNCAAF · TotalLast graded Nov 7+2.75u
- ML Logistic RegressionNFL · MLMoneylineLast graded Nov 9+2.71u
- ML Logistic RegressionNBA · MLMoneylineLast graded Nov 12+2.70u
- Process DisciplineNFL · SpreadLast graded Nov 13+2.61u
- Split Divergence SignalNFL · MLMoneylineLast graded Nov 13+2.14u
- Raj "The Intern" PatelNFL · SpreadLast graded Nov 8+1.92u
- No-Vig Market BasicMLS · MLMoneylineLast graded Nov 8+1.82u
What we publish
Calibration, in the open
0
Picks ever deleted
Most services stop at win rate. We publish the calibration curve behind every public model, plus a promise the ledger backs up: 0 picks ever deleted, win or lose.
, in the open
H2H Duel Model · 183 graded
Every pick is graded against the . This is our most-credible model’s — vs. what actually happened. Dots on the dashed line are perfectly calibrated; we publish it whether it flatters us or not.
Why MVP Capping
Full breakdownStats
Player game logs and season stats for MLB and NHL, power ratings for every team we cover, and the model metrics behind each pick.
- Player stats
- Team ratings
- Advanced analytics
Markets
Modeled picks on the , and , plus a board and tools for researching the rest.
- Moneyline, spread, total
- Player props board
- Parlay & round-robin tools
AI Insights
Our model stack — rule-based, and machine-learning models — prices every game we pick, flags against the no-vig market, and suggests a stake with .
- ML predictions
- Value detection
- Risk labels & sizing
Market analysis
— money vs tickets — from several public sources, from open to close, and the and signals that point to action.
- Betting trends
- Sharp action
- Market consensus
API for builders
Read-only GraphQL API for picks, graded records and CLV. 100k req/day on Edge, 1M on Quant. For personal analysis and internal tools.
Today on the board
Today's board
Free Pick Record
105 picks · auto-graded
Record
63-42
Win rate
60.0%
Units
+10.64u
Avg CLV
+0.01
The full board updates daily
Free accounts see a pick a day. Go Pro for every pick, every model, with full and data.
See plansUpcoming events
Next off the board
How it works
1
A model calls it
Each strategy prices the game itself and publishes only where it disagrees with the market.
2
You see it before the game
Every prediction is timestamped at publication, with the price it was published at.
3
It grades itself
When the game ends the prediction is graded automatically against the closing line — win or lose, it stays published.
What we cover
See the board →Baseball
Basketball
Football
Hockey
Soccer
Combat
Tennis
Esports
Every plan covers every live league — the same models, the same grading, the same published record across all of them.
For builders
Query the graded record
A read-only GraphQL API ships with Edge and Quant — the same picks, odds, and calibration data the site renders, queryable directly. 100k requests/day on Edge, 1M/day on Quant.
Read the API docsFrom the blog
Latest analysis
Today's picks
Best Bets Today: NCAAB, Tennis & Esports Model Picks — November 13, 2026
31 model picks on today's 142-game NCAAB, Tennis & Esports slate, with the full schedule, where the models see an edge, and how every pick is graded.
Slate preview
NCAAB, Tennis & Esports Picks Today — November 13, 2026
NCAAB, Tennis & Esports on November 13: 142 games, 28 model picks posted before kickoff, each graded against the closing line after the final.
Today's picks
Best Bets Today: NHL, NCAAB, Boxing & 2 more Model Picks — November 12, 2026
34 model picks on today's 151-game NHL, NCAAB, Boxing, Tennis & 1 more slate, with the full schedule, where the models see an edge, and how every pick is…
Daily recap
NBA, NHL, NCAAF & 7 more Picks Results — November 12, 2026 (53-32-1)
53-32-1 (-8.00u) on 86 graded picks · NBA, NHL, NCAAF, NCAAB & 6 more results for November 12: 419 events, every pick graded win or lose.
Newsletter
Free pick in your inbox daily.
Get a model pick every morning — graded, timestamped, and tracked for CLV. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.
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FAQ
Common questions
Is the pick record independently verifiable?
Yes. Every pick is timestamped before the game starts, settled automatically against the canonical final score, and stored with its grading history. Grading corrections keep the earlier result.
What does CLV mean and why does it matter?
Closing Line Value measures whether a pick beat the closing line. Consistently beating the close is a stronger signal of real edge than win rate alone.
Which leagues are covered?
Every plan covers every live MVP Capping league, including MLB, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, NFL, NCAAF, WNBA, MLS, EPL, UFC, Boxing, Tennis, and Esports.
Can I cancel anytime?
Yes. Cancel from your account in two clicks. Your plan stays active through the end of the billing period — no cancellation fees.
Do you guarantee winning picks?
No honest service can. We guarantee transparency: a fully public, auto-graded record so you can judge the edge for yourself before you ever pay.
What data sources power the picks?
Every price comes from live sportsbook and league data feeds — including Action Network and Cloudbet odds plus official league schedules and results — refreshed continuously. The exact price a model saw at pick time is stored permanently, so nothing is reconstructed after the fact.
Why does the record only cover 90 days?
The homepage shows a rolling 90-day window because that's the age of the current model version — a fresh scoreboard that started the day it shipped, so nothing older can be cherry-picked in. Earlier picks belong to a prior model version and sit outside this window. They weren't deleted.
Who is behind MVP Capping?
MVP Capping is built by Mathieu Payette, founder and full-stack engineer, along with a small team of data scientists and lifelong sports fans. See the About page for more.
Start free. Upgrade when you want the full board.
No credit card to start. Watch the public record settle in real time, then decide.
MVP Capping is a sports betting analytics service — not a sportsbook, and never a guarantee of profit. Only stake what you can afford to lose. You must be 18+ (21+ where required) and located where betting is legal. If gambling stops being fun, help is available 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER.
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